Early Forecasts for Egypt's Presidential Race

Warning

This is based on subjective analysis of voting blocs. It also takes into account that a large percentage of voters decides on voting day and are often influenced by whoever has superior presence inside and outside polling stations. This favors Mohamed Morsi who shows very low ratings in opinion polls today, but this could be changed by the Muslim Brothers's huge and well-oiled, well-financed  election machinery.

According to this, forecast is as follows:

• Morsi  23.7%
• Moussa 23.2%
• Sabahy 14.3%
• Fotouh 22.8%
• Shafik 8.2%
• Khaled Aly 3.1%

Estimated total for the top 6 candidates 95% of the total votes.


This is an early estimate and there is no warranty of any kind regarding its accuracy.


Forecast will be updated as fresh data and opinion polls are available.

This Poll is not based on any single opinion poll, but aggregates many opinion polls and takes into account election day swing votes.

You are advised to also read opinion polls for more information.

Also Read
التوقعات المرئية للانتخابات الرئاسية - المرحلة الأولى - والله أعلم

 ‎http://weekite.blogspot.com/2012/05/blog-post_12.html?spref=tw‏ ‎‪

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